Use Case

Detect churn before it happens and win buyers back.

Persona LM identifies which buyer segments are slipping — based on purchase cadence, not arbitrary rules. See who's overdue, what they used to buy, and push a win-back audience to Klaviyo in one click.

88%purchase prediction accuracy on holdout eval
1.7×more accurate than ChatGPT on your data
24hfrom Shopify connect to named segments
0 CSVexports — audiences sync live

The problem

By the time you notice a customer churned, they bought from your competitor last month.

Most DTC brands define churn as 'hasn't ordered in 90 days.' But a buyer who orders every 30 days and misses day 45 is already gone — you just don't know it yet. Arbitrary time windows miss the signal because every segment has its own natural cadence.

Your win-back flow triggers at 90 days — but your best buyers reorder every 30. They're gone by day 60.
You can't distinguish a buyer who left from one who just buys seasonally
Your 'at-risk' segment in Klaviyo is based on email opens, not purchase behavior
Win-back campaigns go to everyone equally — same discount for a $30 one-timer and a $500 VIP
You find out about churn spikes in the monthly report, weeks after you could have acted

How Persona LM solves this

Three steps. No guesswork.

01

Identify natural cadence

Persona LM learns each segment's natural reorder rhythm from your transaction data. No arbitrary '30/60/90 day' rules — real cadence from real behavior.

02

Flag segments drifting past window

See which segments are overdue, how much revenue is at risk, and what products they typically reorder. Ranked by impact, not alphabetical order.

03

Push win-back audiences instantly

One click to Klaviyo or Meta. The audience updates automatically with every new order, so your win-back flow always targets the right buyers.

Real segments, real data

What you'll see in your dashboard

These are the kinds of segments and insights Persona LM surfaces from Shopify transaction data.

Monthly Restocker

30-day cadence, $95 avg order

43 members are 15+ days overdue. That's $4,085 in at-risk monthly revenue. Win-back should trigger at day 35, not day 90.

Premium Repeat Buyer

45-day cadence, $180 avg order

Reorder rate dropped 22% this month vs the 3-month average. Something changed — new competitor? Price sensitivity shift?

Seasonal Splurger

120-day cadence, $240 avg basket

Not overdue — they're seasonal. Don't waste a win-back campaign on a buyer who's in their natural quiet period.

One-and-Done Risk

0% repeat rate, $55 avg basket

68% of this segment never returns. Don't invest in win-back — invest in converting them to a second purchase within 14 days.

Before vs after

Same team. Same data. Different decisions.

Without Persona LM

Win-back email at day 90. 2% open rate. They already bought from a competitor at day 50.

With Persona LM

Persona LM flags overdue buyers at day 35. You reach them before they've moved on. 18% conversion on win-back.

Without Persona LM

Your Klaviyo 'at-risk' segment has 8,000 people. You send the same 15% off email to all of them.

With Persona LM

3 segments with different cadences, different products, different price sensitivity. 3 campaigns, each tailored. 4x the response rate.

Without Persona LM

Monthly report shows repeat rate dropped. You investigate. Takes a week to figure out which segment.

With Persona LM

Psyche alerts you Monday: 'Premium Repeat Buyer reorder rate is 22% below expected.' You act the same day.

3-4xearlier churn detectionvs arbitrary 90-day time windows
15-25%win-back response ratewhen campaigns hit buyers in the right window
Revenue at riskquantified per segmentprioritize by dollar impact, not headcount
Built-in AI agent

Ask it anything. It knows your store.

Psyche is an AI analyst trained on your transactions. Ask who your best buyers are, what they'll buy next, or which segment to push to Meta — and it does it. 31 tools. Your entire purchase history loaded.

Weekly intelligence brief — Discord, email, or dashboard
Velocity alerts — what's accelerating or stalling
Stockout risk flags before you lose momentum
Ready-to-push audiences attached to every alert
U

Who are my highest-value customers?

+ searchPersonas · computeStats

Premium Repeat Buyer — 1,412 members, 8.4% CVR (2.3× above store avg), $180 avg basket. They drive 42% of revenue from 17% of your buyer base.

U

What should I push to them next?

+ forecastDemand · scoreCouncilPoll

Highest-probability next purchase: Accessories (72%). They convert better at full price. Recommend email flow at day 3 post-purchase — 68% of cross-sells close there.

U

Push that segment to Klaviyo

+ exportSegment · klaviyo_segment_upsert

Done. 1,412 profiles synced to Klaviyo. Audience auto-updates with every new order. Ready for your campaign.

Best fit

Subscription or replenishment brands (supplements, beauty, pet, food)
Stores with 30%+ repeat purchase rate wanting to grow it
Teams running win-back campaigns that aren't converting

Common questions

How does Persona LM detect churn?

Every buyer segment has a natural purchase cadence. 'Monthly Restockers' who haven't ordered in 45 days aren't browsing competitors — they're already gone. We flag segments that have drifted past their expected reorder window, ranked by revenue at risk.

Can I automate win-back campaigns from churn signals?

Yes. Push any at-risk segment to Klaviyo in one click. The audience auto-updates — so your win-back flow always targets the right people without manual list pulls.

How is this different from Klaviyo's churn prediction?

Klaviyo flags individual profiles based on email engagement. Persona LM flags buyer segments based on purchase behavior. You see that your 'Premium Repeat Buyer' segment is 22% below expected reorder rate this month — that's a revenue problem, not an email open-rate problem.

What if my store doesn't have enough repeat buyers?

You need at least 500 orders with some repeat purchase history for churn detection to be meaningful. Stores with strong repeat dynamics (supplements, beauty, food) see the clearest signals.

Works with the tools you already use

ShopifyKlaviyoMeta AdsGoogle AdsGA4TikTokBigCommerceCSV / API

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